Bitcoin in perspective. Every trade in focus.

Understand the market with Bitcoin cycle and valuation data. Plan with position sizing, fee calculators and DCA backtests. Core tools are free, with no login.

BTC Cycle Thermometer

42/100 · Neutral Zone · As of 2026-09-09

Historical context, not a price forecast. Updated daily after 00:00 UTC.

Explore all 9 indicators

Your essential toolkit

DCA Backtest

Compare recurring purchases, costs and drawdowns.

Position Size

Size a trade from your risk limit and stop distance.

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A little clarity goes a long way.

What problems is this site designed to solve?

Use it before making a decision to understand Bitcoin’s market position, calculate position risk and trading costs, test historical strategies and reduce constant checking with alerts. It does not provide guaranteed returns or live trade calls.

Is Bitcoin overvalued or undervalued right now?

No single metric can answer reliably. The site combines long-term percentile, historical ranges, cycle temperature, trend, drawdown and freshness to support an evidence-based view. These readings are not price forecasts.

What should a Bitcoin beginner do first?

Start with Bitcoin’s purpose and risks, then secure two-factor authentication, seed-phrase handling and phishing protection. Learn volatility and fees with a manageable amount before considering leverage.

What should I calculate before a trade?

At minimum, calculate account risk per trade, stop distance, position size, fees, spread, slippage, funding and break-even, and define invalidation before entry.

Can the data and research results be verified?

Yes. Key pages disclose sources, timestamps, formulas, parameters and limitations. Research tools also support snapshots, differences and verification records.

Sources & methods · Affiliate disclosure