Bitcoin price relative to its 4-year (1460-day) moving average, aligned with the halving cycle for long-term bull/bear analysis.
How 4-Year Cycle MA is calculated
Price above 4Y MA = bull phase; price below 4Y MA = bear phase signal.
How to read it
- Cycle indicators measure price deviation from long-term averages or models, and the sample covers only a few cycles.
- Historical thresholds can structure staged buying or trimming plans, but a single trigger is not confirmation of a top or bottom.
Limitations and common misreads
- Historical thresholds come from a limited sample; future cycles can differ.
- Data providers can define the metric differently; cite the data date when quoting it.
- A single indicator is not investment advice and does not guarantee price direction.
Related indicators
Research and education only; not investment advice.
