Bitcoin Rolling Returns & CAGR Chart
Rolling 1-, 2-, 3- and 4-year compound annual returns. Full-screen analysis with a near full-width primary canvas, focus mode, interpretation guidance, data methodology and a fixed return path to the Charts Hub; the compact Tools edition remains available.
Primary analysis canvas
Rolling 1-, 2-, 3- and 4-year compound annual returns
How to read it
Confirm the timeframe and current indicator position, then cross-check it against historical ranges, trend direction and related charts.
Evidence-based interpretation
The site interpretation engine shows shared market context, a reading lens, confirmation evidence, invalidation conditions and the next cross-check chart. Shared context is not this chart’s own metric and is not a price forecast.
View relationship
How to read the Bitcoin Rolling Returns & CAGR Chart
This chart computes Bitcoin’s rolling 1-, 2-, 3- and 4-year compound annual growth rates (CAGR) from daily closes, treating every day as a possible start date. It shows how long-horizon holding returns have widened or compressed across cycles.
How to read the result
- A 4-year window spans roughly one halving cycle, which reduces start-date luck.
- A falling 4-year CAGR trend shows long-run returns compressing over time.
- The 1-year CAGR swings widely and mostly reflects the current cycle phase.
Limits and cautions
- History starts in August 2017, so 4-year windows only exist from 2021.
- Rolling windows overlap heavily, so observations are not independent.
- Past CAGR does not indicate future returns.
Open the Bitcoin Rolling Returns & CAGR Chart with the full guide
