Risk Reward Calculator
Entry + stop loss + target → R:R ratio + recommended position
What is the Risk Reward Calculator?
The Risk-Reward Calculator derives the R/R ratio from entry, stop and target, and shows whether the trade has positive expectancy at various win rates.
How do I use the Risk Reward Calculator?
The expectancy rule: win-rate × R/R must exceed (1 − win-rate). At 2:1 R/R you only need a 34% win rate to profit — the math behind "cut losses, let winners run."
What should I watch out for?
R/R is the planned figure; real execution (early profit-taking, stop-moving) usually delivers less. Tracking the gap between planned and realized R/R is a practical way to review execution discipline.
How the Risk Reward Calculator works
Calculates the risk/reward ratio of a planned trade from entry, stop and target, plus a position size based on the maximum dollar loss you accept, to filter out trades with too little upside.
What you enter
- Entry price (USD), prefilled with live BTC
- Stop price (USD), defaults to entry − 5% if left empty
- Target price (USD), defaults to entry + 15% if left empty
- Maximum acceptable loss (USD), default 500
What it shows
- Stop distance (%) and target move (%)
- Risk/reward ratio shown as 1:X (green at ≥ 2, yellow at ≥ 1)
- Suggested position size (USD)
- Maximum loss and potential profit (USD)
- Warnings when the ratio is below 1:2 or the target is on the stop's side of entry
How to use it
- Enter your entry price, or keep the live BTC price.
- Enter your stop; below entry means a long, above entry a short.
- Enter your target on the opposite side of entry.
- Set the maximum acceptable loss in USD, then read the 1:X ratio and suggested size.
Formula
Risk % = |entry − stop| / entry × 100; reward % = |target − entry| / entry × 100; R:R = reward % / risk %; position = max loss / (risk % / 100); profit = position × reward % / 100; breakeven win rate = 1 / (1 + R:R).
Worked example
Entry 100,000, stop 95,000, target 115,000, max loss 500 USD. Risk = 5%, reward = 15%, R:R = 3, shown as 1:3.00. Position = 500 / 0.05 = 10,000 USD. Potential profit = 10,000 × 0.15 = 1,500 USD. Breakeven win rate = 1 / (1 + 3) = 25%.
How to read the result
- A higher R:R lowers the breakeven win rate (2:1 needs about 33.3%).
- A good ratio with an unrealistic target is not a good trade.
- The suggested size caps the loss only if the stop fills exactly.
Limits and cautions
- Fees, slippage and funding are excluded.
- Early exits or moving the stop change the realized R:R.
- It does not estimate the odds of hitting the target.
Common questions
What is a good risk/reward ratio?
Many traders look for at least 1:2, but it depends on your win rate: expectancy is positive when win rate × R exceeds (1 − win rate).
How is the risk/reward ratio calculated?
Divide the entry-to-target distance by the entry-to-stop distance: entry 100, stop 95, target 115 give 15 / 5 = 3, or 1:3.
Can I plan a short with this calculator?
Yes. Put the stop above entry and the target below it. A target on the stop's side is flagged as invalid.
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