Bitcoin Block Bootstrap Scenario Explorer

Generate seeded reproducible path scenarios by resampling contiguous blocks of historical weekly returns

What is the Bitcoin Block Bootstrap Scenario Explorer?

Block bootstrap samples contiguous blocks of historical weekly returns and joins them into paths, preserving more short-run dependence than independent weekly draws.

How do I use the Bitcoin Block Bootstrap Scenario Explorer?

Fix the seed for reproducibility, vary horizon and block length to inspect stability, and treat P10–P90 as a stress range rather than price targets.

What should I watch out for?

Resampling assumes future returns resemble the historical distribution and cannot model regime change, liquidity breaks or unprecedented shocks.

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