Bitcoin Fair Value Calculator

S2F / Metcalfe / Production cost — three valuation models

What is the Bitcoin Fair Value Calculator?

The Fair Value Calculator shows three live-computed BTC valuation models side by side: the power-law trend price, the 200-day moving average (the Mayer-Multiple-=-1 mean-reversion anchor), and miner electricity cost derived from live network hashrate.

How do I use the Bitcoin Fair Value Calculator?

Each model anchors a different lens: power law for long-term network growth, the 200-day MA for medium-term mean reversion, miner cost for supply-side support. The further price floats above all three, the more sentiment-driven the valuation; dips below miner cost have historically been near bottoms.

What should I watch out for?

The miner-cost model counts electricity only (assuming 20 J/TH fleet efficiency and $0.06/kWh) — hardware depreciation adds another 30–50%. All three are reference anchors, not price targets.

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