Bitcoin Bubble Meter

Log-regression trend to gauge distance from peak bubble territory

What is the Bitcoin Bubble Meter?

The Bubble Meter measures how far Bitcoin trades above or below its long-term power-law trend, mapped to a 0–100 bubble score. The power-law model holds that fair value grows as 10^(5.84·log10(days since genesis) − 17.01).

How do I use the Bitcoin Bubble Meter?

Readings near 0 mean price sits deep below trend (historical bottom zones), ~50 is the trendline itself, and near 100 marks historical bubble tops. It cross-validates with the Rainbow Chart — both derive from the same regression expressed differently.

What should I watch out for?

The power law fits early history remarkably well but offers no guarantee going forward, and it ignores macro liquidity and regulatory shocks. Treat it as a long-cycle frame of reference, never a short-term signal.

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